We have a question from management on how to understand something specific in the version report. Sometimes the slope of the line changes past the "today" mark. Please see the attached image. Basically, how do you explain that the slope of the line "improves" our outlook? I would think that since the left half of the graph (historical data) has a specific velocity (slope) that velocity would continue when making the forecast on version completion date.
We have the same question. One of our teams shows this inflection point. The slope of the line changed such that it lined up with our Release Date, so we thought it was the velocity we needed to be at in order to be done in time. However, I tested by changing the release date, and the line did not change.
We have the same question here. For some teams we observe the same, for some not. It would be helpful to have a more detailed explanation of the predicted completion date in https://confluence.atlassian.com/display/AGILE/Viewing+the+Version+Report
I've been playing around with this more and found out that this happens whenever you re-open a closed story. When you re-open, JIRA does not subtract those story points from your velocity. When you close the story again, the story points for that story gets added again to your velocity. If you constantly repeat this, you can eventually make the Predicted Completion Date next week. (Don't tell management this trick. )
Please vote for the fix at GHS-11735 Closing and Reopening Estimates Issues Incorrectly Modifies Velocity in Version Report
Meanwhile, I am unclear whether that defect is the only cause of the slope change.
For a workaround:
I really wish someone at Atlassian would improve the page you linked to, @RZO because I'm having a hard time explaining to management why the my team's average velocity is about 25 yet the Version Report and the Release Burndown are using a velocity of about 51 to project completion dates. It's higher because it's including scope changes as if we expect the rate of scope change to continue for the remainder of the project. They should provide a clear explanation of how the velocity is calculated instead of just saying it's different from the team's velocity. Are you out there Atlassian? I've posted this question at Atlassian Answers and I've heard nothing but crickets.
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