Ever get that sinking feeling when a stakeholder asks: "So, how many hours will this take?" You know your answer is a complete shot in the dark, a number destined to haunt you in a few weeks. There’s a better way, and it revolves around the story point—the most powerful, and most misunderstood, number in all of agile.
This article will walk you through what they actually are (and why they absolutely crush estimates in hours), how to use them with your team, and how to turn them into predictable reports.
Story point is a single number that represents three things: the amount of Effort involved, the Complexity of the work, and the level of Uncertainty or risk. The best way to understand this is to stop thinking about software and start thinking about … dogs.
Imagine you have to walk three different dogs. A Corgi is a 2-point task. A Golden Retriever is a 5. A Great Dane is a 13. You have no idea if walking the Corgi will take 15 minutes or 30 (depends on the squirrels), but you know for a fact it's way less work than wrangling the Great Dane. That's relative sizing, and it’s the simple, powerful idea behind story points.
This is why the eternal debate of story points vs. hours isn't much of a debate at all. Let's put them head-to-head:
Time-based estimates are brittle; a senior dev’s “4-hour task” is a junior dev’s “12-hour marathon”. A single unexpected bug can turn your perfect hourly estimate into a punchline. A 5-point story, however, is always a 5-point story to your team, regardless of who works on it. It’s a stable measure of size, not a fragile promise of duration. This allows you to build a reliable team forecast (velocity), focusing on what the team can achieve together, not on holding one person's feet to the fire over a bad guess.
You open your Jira backlog, ready to start estimating, and... the story point field is nowhere to be found. Don't worry. This is a classic Jira admin puzzle.
Now for the big question: you can add a number, but which numbers should you use?
Most agile teams use a modified Fibonacci sequence: 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 20... There's a brilliant reason for this. The gaps between the numbers get bigger as they go up. The jump from a 3 to a 5 is small, but the jump from an 8 to a 13 is huge. This is intentional. It forces your team to acknowledge that the difference between a big task and a really big task is full of complexity and unknown risks. It stops you from agonizing over whether something is a 7 or an 8 and makes you have a real conversation: "Is this an 8, or is it so much bigger that it's actually a 13?"
Some teams start with T-shirt sizes (XS, S, M, L, XL) and assign them point values later (e.g., S=2, M=5, etc.). This is a great way to get your team comfortable with relative sizing without getting hung up on specific numbers. You'll probably want to switch to the number scale eventually, though, because Jira's reports are built to work with numbers directly.
Estimation is a team sport. It's not a task where your lead dictates numbers from an ivory tower. The value comes from the discussion, the debate, and the collective "aha!" moment when your quietest engineer points out a massive risk nobody else saw. Here are the two best ways to harness that collective brainpower.
This is the classic for a reason: it works. Planning Poker is a simple game designed to force a conversation and get everyone's perspective on the table. While Jira doesn't have a built-in poker tool, the process is what matters. On your next sprint planning call, try this:
What if your team is spread across six time zones? Getting everyone into a "poker" meeting is a nightmare. This is where you can use Jira itself to run the process asynchronously. It's less collaborative in real-time but monumentally more efficient.
So, your Jira issues are now beautifully adorned with little numbers. Now what? This is the part where your effort pays off, turning abstract points into a powerful tool for planning and prediction. Here’s where to look.
First up is The Backlog View. As you drag issues from your backlog into the "next sprint" panel, watch the top of that panel. You’ll see Jira automatically add up the story points for you. This simple-but-mighty total is your first check. If your team usually completes about 30 points per sprint and that number is creeping up to 50, you have a visual warning right there that you're trying to defy the laws of physics.
Once the sprint begins, you’ll spend most of your time on The Active Sprint / Board. Look at your cards. You should see the story point value displayed in a small circle on each one. This isn't just decoration; it's a constant, at-a-glance reminder of the "weight" of each task. During your daily stand-up, it provides instant context. "I'm still working on this 8-pointer" means something very different than "I'm still working on this 1-pointer".
Jira's Built-in Reports is where your story points transform from simple labels into a crystal ball for your project. There are two reports that you absolutely need to know:
It shows a simple line graph: the gray line is the "ideal" path, showing a steady burn of story points to zero by the end of the sprint. The red line is your team's actual progress as you complete issues. If your red line is hugging or staying below the gray line, you're in great shape. If it's floating way above, it’s a clear signal that you’re falling behind and need to have a conversation about what's blocking the team. It answers one question, and one question only: Are we on track to finish this sprint?
If the Burndown Chart diagnoses your present, the Velocity Chart predicts your future. This simple bar chart shows the total number of story points your team actually finished in each of the last several sprints. Below the chart, Jira calculates the average. That number—your average velocity—is the most valuable planning metric you have. If your team's average velocity is 32, then you know you can confidently commit to about 32 points of work in your next sprint. This is how you stop making promises and start making plans.
Jira’s reports are godsends for looking back and telling you how you did. But what about right now, in the middle of a chaotic sprint planning session? Proactively managing your team's workload is another story. It's shockingly difficult to see who is working on what points, who is swamped, and who has room. It's exactly where Planyway steps in.
Planyway lays out all your Jira issues on a visual timeline to see when things are planned to happen along the sprint and who is working on them.
You can set a capacity for each person, mark vacations and get a workload view to distribute work accordingly. As you drag and drop issues onto the timeline to assign work, you see the capacity bar fill up in real-time. If you assign too many, the bar turns red, instantly warning you someone is over-allocated.
You've got the theory, you've got the tools. Now, let's talk about how to do this right, because it's frighteningly easy to do it wrong.
DO:
DON'T:
Sooner or later, it will happen. You'll get to the end of a sprint with a 13-point monster of a story that's half-finished. What do you do? Do you carry over the full 13 points to the next sprint's plan, or do you re-estimate the remaining work (maybe it's an 8 now)?
Here are the two schools of thought, and my take on which one is better.
My opinion? Stick with Camp #1.
While it feels "wrong" to not get partial credit, re-estimating inflates velocity and hides problems. It makes it look like you're getting more done than you are. Keeping the original estimate is a powerful incentive for the team to break down huge stories into smaller, completable chunks. If you're constantly carrying over half-done 13-point stories, that's not a velocity problem—it's a sign you need to write better, smaller stories. Don't fudge the numbers; fix the root cause.
Story points are a team-based measure of effort, not a promise of time, and when used correctly, they are the key to predictable delivery. Jira gives you the basic building blocks to track points and generate backward-looking reports like Velocity and Burndown charts. But to truly master your workflow, you need to see your plan in real-time. Tools like Planyway bridge that critical gap, turning your story point data from a report into a dynamic capacity planning tool that prevents burnout and keeps your sprints on track.
What's your team's #1 golden rule for story point estimation? Share your best practices in the comments below.
Mary from Planyway
Customer Support Manager at Planyway
Planyway
Kazakhstan
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